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OLM Dec. 20th - Cube

Posted By: Barry Murphy
Date: Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 12:12 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Dec. 20th - Cube (Stick)

22% of the time we hit if my figures are right; all the other times not counting the 11% of the time we dance, that we enter and don't spring a man, (11 22 33 44 12 13 14 43 42 32 = 16 rolls 44%) we have to suck up one of the dice on our side of the board and Stick has high probability of making a 5 prime.

22% is the real number to consider because if we don't hit we won't want to have doubled this position IMHO.

How that ties in with match equity I have no idea so I am still holding off doubling and am interested in the results of this vote.

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