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Rollout

Posted By: Misja
Date: Friday, 21 December 2007, at 12:07 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Dec. 20th - Cube (Stick)

Next time I will use Stick's method to post the rollout, I just had this one ready in html already..

Game number 1

The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 7, Readers 2 (match to 15 points)

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Match Information

Date	December 20, 2007

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Move number 2: Readers on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Stick 146, Readers 139
Position ID: cNslATC2bRCAQw Match ID: cAngAXAAEAAA

• Readers doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.015)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.243	(Money: +0.250)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.239
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.761
3.	Double, take	+0.224	-0.015
Proper cube action:		No double, take (2.0%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.543 0.244 0.025 - 0.457 0.100 0.003 +0.243 +0.239 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.001 0.000 0.006 0.011 Player Stick owns 2-cube 0.543 0.237 0.026 - 0.457 0.096 0.003 +0.483 +0.224 Standard error 0.002 0.002 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.012 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed -357049659 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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Output generated Thu Dec 20 22:43:47 2007 by GNU Backgammon 0.16-devel (HTML Export version 1.184)

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
  Stick -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 11:09 a.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    Barry Murphy -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 12:12 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    Peter G. -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 1:01 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 1:20 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    garyo -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 3:35 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    misja -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 3:54 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    Caryl Stephanson -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 5:21 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 6:34 p.m.
    • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
      John Little -- Friday, 21 December 2007, at 7:28 a.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 6:37 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    bob koca -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 6:44 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    MandM1951 -- Thursday, 20 December 2007, at 9:07 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Misja -- Friday, 21 December 2007, at 12:07 p.m.
  • OLM Dec. 20th - Cube
    Ian Shaw -- Friday, 21 December 2007, at 12:32 p.m.