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My rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 21 December 2007, at 12:51 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Wed. Dec. 19th - Cube (Stick)

The huge volatility makes this a cube at this score.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 7, user 2 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: user on roll, cube decision?


' '1O2O3X2X2X3X1X '2X '

1X2O2O2O2O2O ' ' ' '1O1X

Pip counts: gnubg 133, user 140
Position ID: cNtlAiC2bRCARQ Match ID: cAngAXAAEAAA

• user doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.2809(Money: +0.2855)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.3625
2.Double, pass +1.0000 +0.6375
3.No double +0.3235 -0.0390
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.55170.29300.0156-0.44830.12030.0061 +0.2809 +0.3235
Standard error0.00150.00180.0006-0.00150.00160.0011 0.0050 0.0104
Player gnubg owns 2-cube0.55660.29170.0152-0.44340.12470.0088 +0.5964 +0.3625
Standard error0.00180.00210.0007-0.00180.00210.0013 0.0105 0.0142
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1775 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1044463833 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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