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Run scared.... ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Wednesday, 2 January 2008, at 7:58 a.m.

In Response To: Run scared.... (Keene)

I ran scared. Cleared the 10pt.

So, the lesson I learned from this? Its always important to actually count the returns you are giving up - I looked at the hit n carry on, and just saw 3 blots, and white picking them all up and gammoning my helpless ass. I didnt count the shots (11), and I figured that even after a hit n dance, I still didnt have enough power in my cube to cash out. Besides this, I knew my opponent to be too invested in the game to drop - which he obligingly took a giant error later on.

If I had taken the time to count the extra 6 numbers, I would likely have hit and prayed. Such is online BG that I dont take enough time. Live, you couldnt stop me from counting the returns.

The score (after 0 games) is: melonek1 0, kilted 0

Move number 41: kilted to play 24

melonek1112


2X2X2X3X2X '1O ' ' ' '2O

2O '1X2O2X4O '2O1X2O ' '

kilted114

Position ID: 224AhAljnhmDAA Match ID: UgkRAAAAAAAA

• kilted moves 10/8 10/6

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity +0.343
0.648 0.130 0.001 - 0.352 0.084 0.001
Cubeful equities:
1.No double +0.590
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.410
3.Double, take +0.448 -0.142
Proper cube action:No redouble, take (25.7%)

Alert: bad move ( -0.049)

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 13/9*/7 +0.433
0.6020.1190.002-0.3980.1560.005 +0.164 +0.433
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1045825755 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
• 2 R 10/8 10/6 +0.384 ( -0.049)
0.5710.0860.001-0.4290.0690.000 +0.161 +0.384
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.001 0.003 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1045825755 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/9* 6/4 +0.354 ( -0.079)
0.5840.1160.002-0.4160.1790.006 +0.102 +0.354
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.006
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1045825755 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 6/4 6/2 +0.346 ( -0.087)
0.5610.0850.001-0.4390.0930.001 +0.114 +0.346
0.0010.0020.000-0.0010.0020.000 0.003 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1045825755 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 18/16 13/9* +0.341 ( -0.092)
0.5840.1060.002-0.4160.1810.007 +0.087 +0.341
0.0010.0010.000-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1045825755 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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