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Rollout

Posted By: Mislav Radica
Date: Friday, 4 January 2008, at 10:32 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Thurs. Jan 3rd - Cube (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 11, Readers 6 (match to 15 points)

Move number 2: Readers on roll, cube decision?

Stick124


' '1X2X2X4X2O2X ' ' '2O

1X '2O '2O3O2O2O ' ' '3X

Readers126

Position ID: tD2DAyDMboPBAA Match ID: cAngAbAAMAAA

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0,4764(Money: +0,4522)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0,9019
2.Double, pass +1,0000 +0,0981
3.No double +0,8238 -0,0781
Proper cube action:Double, take
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube 69,40% 13,91% 0,32%- 30,60% 7,24% 0,58% +0,4764 +0,8238
Standard error 0,09% 0,11% 0,02%- 0,09% 0,10% 0,08% 0,0024 0,0055
Player Stick owns 2-cube 70,49% 13,67% 0,31%- 29,51% 7,07% 0,86% +0,9578 +0,9019
Standard error 0,10% 0,13% 0,02%- 0,10% 0,12% 0,11% 0,0056 0,0066
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3888 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1045886265 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0,16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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