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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 9 January 2007, at 8:52 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Sun. Jan. 7th (Stick)

You made the correct play, as we all figured. Only thing was Snowie had all these plays within' .02 (or less, I forget) of each other on 3 ply, so I rolled them out even though I thought the obvious choice was the clear choice.

Money Game
143
162
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/21 13/11 -0.524
0.3% 7.5% 36.7% 63.3% 18.0% 0.9%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.376 ±0.017. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 19197 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
2 R 8/5 6/4 -0.585 (-0.061)
0.3% 7.8% 35.1% 64.9% 17.5% 1.3%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.407 ±0.017. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 22189 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
3 R 11/8 6/4 -0.589 (-0.065)
0.3% 7.7% 34.7% 65.3% 16.8% 1.1%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.404 ±0.019. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 17421 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
4 R 13/11 8/5 -0.601 (-0.078)
0.3% 8.1% 34.7% 65.3% 17.7% 1.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.414 ±0.017. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 20391 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.
5 R 13/10 6/4 -0.620 (-0.096)
0.3% 7.8% 34.1% 65.9% 17.2% 1.5%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: -0.424 ±0.018. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 648 games (equiv. 18607 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, without race database.

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