I've not bothered with a rollout, since the gap to the best play is huge. I feared leaving the double shot, but was wrong to do so.
Keene, I'm afraid your play was back in 11th, a -0.281 blunder.
Thanks for all your explanations of the best play.
The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0 (match to 11 points)
Move number 5: Blue to play 66
| White | 145 |
|---|---|
| |
| Blue | 155 |
Position ID: 4NuFAQnI2+ABIg Match ID: cAl7AQAAAAAA | |
• Blue moves 13/1(2)
| Cube decision | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-ply cubeless equity | +0.071 | (Money: +0.071) | |
| 0.527 0.150 0.005 - 0.473 0.133 0.005 | |||
| Cubeful equities: | |||
| 1. | No double | +0.106 | |
| 2. | Double, pass | +1.000 | +0.894 |
| 3. | Double, take | -0.182 | -0.287 |
| Proper cube action: | No double, take (24.3%) | ||
Alert: bad move ( -0.156)
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 21/3* 13/7 | -0.120 | |
| 0.473 0.119 0.003 - 0.527 0.146 0.004 | ||||
| 2 | 2 | 21/15 13/7 8/2(2) | -0.239 ( -0.119) | |
| 0.440 0.130 0.004 - 0.560 0.175 0.006 | ||||
| 3 | 2 | 21/9 13/7(2) | -0.265 ( -0.145) | |
| 0.433 0.112 0.002 - 0.567 0.157 0.005 | ||||
| • | 4 | 2 | 13/1(2) | -0.276 ( -0.156) |
| 0.426 0.146 0.004 - 0.574 0.182 0.007 | ||||
| 5 | 2 | 13/7(2) 8/2(2) | -0.320 ( -0.200) | |
| 0.417 0.130 0.004 - 0.583 0.183 0.007 | ||||