My preference here was to save a six also but I thought the difference in plays would be slightly larger than the infinitesimal amount it is. How I saw the upcoming exchange was after your play giving myself an average roll, 7 or 8 pips and not clearing the midpoint which would put you back on roll in a basically dead even race (though you're on roll and your distribution is better). Now if you're forced to run with a six you leave a shot, and that shot is either 4, 3, 2, or 1 pip away, in other words, my small numbers. So I'll have the big numbers to jump back in the race and small numbers to hit if in fact you do leave that immediate shot. You also know it's much more likely you break before I do, if you don't roll a clearing number, and at that time I should have a 4pt board, nothing to sniff at.
The score (after 2 games) is: Stick 13, Readers 12 (match to 15 points)
| Stick | 89 |
|---|---|
| |
| Readers | 98 |
Position ID: 1vMMBgDs7gowAA Match ID: cAnyAdAAYAAA | |
| # | Ply | Move | Equity | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | R | 8/4 6/2(2) 5/1 | +0.1113 | |||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049469396 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | R | 7/3 6/2(2) 5/1 | +0.1088 ( -0.0025) | |||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 324 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049469396 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| • | 3 | R | 8/4 7/3 6/2 5/1 | +0.1023 ( -0.0090) | ||||||||||||||||||
| ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049469396 and quasi-random dice | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] | ||||||||||||||||||||||