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Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 20 February 2008, at 12:42 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Tues. Feb. 19th (Stick)

Looks like hitting and 17/15 wins enough extra G's/BG's to make it probably our best play.

The score (after 0 games) is: gnubg 1, user 0 (match to 15 points)

Move number 8: user to play 24


 ' ' ' '2X4X3X1O ' ' '3O

2X2O2O1X2O2O2O1O ' ' '3X

Pip counts: gnubg 163, user 110
Position ID: sHfgADE224JDAA Match ID: QQnxARAAAAAA

# Ply Move Equity
  1 R 17/15 8/4* +0.6827
 
0.73630.30750.0327-0.26370.04450.0020 +0.7872 +0.6827
0.00210.00220.0011-0.00210.00100.0003 0.0049 0.0069
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1166 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049642935 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  2 R 17/13 8/6 +0.6676 ( -0.0151)
 
0.76660.21670.0168-0.23340.01730.0007 +0.7633 +0.6676
0.00190.00230.0009-0.00190.00070.0002 0.0040 0.0054
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1165 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049642935 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  3 R 13/11 8/4* +0.6466 ( -0.0361)
 
0.72600.31090.0333-0.27400.04940.0021 +0.7652 +0.6466
0.00210.00210.0011-0.00210.00110.0002 0.0050 0.0072
  
  Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.  
  1166 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1049642935 and quasi-random dice  
  Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16  
  Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.  
  Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]  
  4 4 8/4*/2 +0.6463 ( -0.0364)
  0.7106 0.3231 0.0267 - 0.2894 0.0427 0.0009  
  5 4 8/4* 6/4 +0.6410 ( -0.0417)
  0.7165 0.3180 0.0265 - 0.2835 0.0581 0.0018  
  6 4 17/11 +0.6361 ( -0.0466)
  0.7412 0.2578 0.0167 - 0.2588 0.0481 0.0011  

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