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Monte Carlo Open Position: Lamford, Bray, Vogl and others all weighing in. How hard can it be?

Posted By: David Rennie
Date: Tuesday, 5 August 2014, at 11:14 p.m.

In Response To: Monte Carlo Open Position: Lamford, Bray, Vogl and others all weighing in. How hard can it be? (stw672)

I'm not on the Facebook so I can't see what the smart folks are saying but my question (if I was faced with that cube) would be "How am I going to get back in this game?" Yes, White's prime is bit holy but you're anchored on the 23-point and you're behind by 55 in the race. I've taken very similar positions and been burned so often I'm very wary about these takes. I look at it and say "He's got no builders! It must be a take." It never is, although admittedly my positions are usually worse in that my opponent has his 5-point made although not his ace point so that compensates somewhat I'd think. That said, I can't imagine your gammon losses can be that high. I'd guess you lose 75% here and 17% gammons with maybe 4% gammons won if that.

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