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Cube decision-7,-3 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 8 August 2014, at 12:56 a.m.

In Response To: Cube decision-7,-3 (Keene)

is Player 2

score: 8
pip: 132
11 point match
pip: 129
score: 4

is Player 1
XGID=--aBCBC----AbBab-b-cbbA-A-:0:0:1:00:4:8:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 53.90% (G:28.24% B:0.71%) 53.91% (G:29.61% B:0.74%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 46.10% (G:12.47% B:1.16%) 46.09% (G:12.85% B:2.32%)
Cubeless Equities +0.219 +0.657
Cubeful Equities
played No double:+0.462 (-0.129)±0.012 (+0.450..+0.474)
xg Double/Take:+0.591±0.016 (+0.575..+0.607)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.409)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 74648402
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 8 minutes 59 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

So, I missed this double. 3 Missed doubles in the match - which is pretty good, IMO. This one came, I missed it, the window dropped back down, and then I found another pretty solid window, which I didnt miss. Or did I... position to come!

K

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