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Pointlessness

Posted By: Stick
Date: Monday, 22 September 2014, at 4:58 p.m.

In Response To: Pointlessness (svilo)

I have an early game pointless double reference position that I often recall to keep me from passing such cubes. While there are difference in the positions overall I find it's probably not a bad comparison. Almost everyone who has seen my reference position without pretext drops the cube.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 164
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 150
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=b----AEAC---dC---d-e-A--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 68.05% (G:29.24% B:0.93%) 68.06% (G:31.32% B:0.93%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 31.95% (G:6.68% B:0.29%) 31.94% (G:7.11% B:0.34%)
Cubeless Equities +0.593 +1.219
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.813 (-0.156)±0.012 (+0.801..+0.825)
Double/Take:+0.969±0.018 (+0.951..+0.986)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.031)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 58076072
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 48 minutes 54 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.206.pre-release

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