[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 6 October 2014, at 12:46 p.m.

In Response To: Recube ATS? (John O'Hagan)

NR/T is correct. The leader's redoubling window is pretty small ATS, ~86% to 93%. You do have a lot of mkt losers but redoubling can't be correct if you are below 86% and is very likely wrong if you are in the lower part of this window (unless a last roll position). Virtually everyone takes this so there's no bluff vig. Therefore it's a clear NR.

is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 98
13 point match
pip: 82
score: 8

is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBCCA-b--B------bbbbbb-:2:1:1:00:8:5:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 85.88% (G:20.93% B:0.37%) 86.46% (G:19.76% B:0.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 14.12% (G:1.25% B:0.02%) 13.54% (G:1.07% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.752 +0.734
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.808±0.004 (+0.804..+0.812)
Redouble/Take:+0.734 (-0.075)±0.006 (+0.727..+0.740)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.192)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 21.9%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 5 minutes 08 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.