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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 4 March 2008, at 4:05 p.m.

In Response To: Tough Third Roll from Chicago (Stick)

Slotting, for now, is marginally correct as I'd thought it would be. I'm still surprised how wrong the rest of the field is compared to the top two plays but perhaps lengthening the rollout will bring them back into the ballpark. I still expect the top two plays to hold their positions.

gnubg	158
user	163
Position ID: 0NfgATDg8+ABUA Match ID: cIkIAAAAAAAA

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	bar/23 6/5	-0.2212
			0.4539 0.1206 0.0066 - 0.5461 0.1933 0.0088 -0.1671 -0.2212 0.0018 0.0018 0.0006 - 0.0018 0.0021 0.0008 0.0052 0.0135
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054989086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	bar/22	-0.2408 ( -0.0197)
			0.4492 0.1173 0.0061 - 0.5508 0.1796 0.0070 -0.1647 -0.2408 0.0015 0.0016 0.0005 - 0.0015 0.0019 0.0004 0.0039 0.0111
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054989086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	bar/23 24/23	-0.2766 ( -0.0554)
			0.4345 0.1202 0.0058 - 0.5655 0.1685 0.0076 -0.1811 -0.2766 0.0017 0.0016 0.0003 - 0.0017 0.0020 0.0005 0.0042 0.0108
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054989086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	bar/24 13/11	-0.2864 ( -0.0652)
			0.4374 0.1240 0.0062 - 0.5626 0.1851 0.0118 -0.1919 -0.2864 0.0019 0.0016 0.0004 - 0.0019 0.0020 0.0007 0.0047 0.0139
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054989086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	5	R	bar/24 6/4	-0.3016 ( -0.0805)
			0.4373 0.1174 0.0064 - 0.5627 0.1879 0.0123 -0.2017 -0.3016 0.0020 0.0015 0.0004 - 0.0020 0.0024 0.0011 0.0061 0.0156
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054989086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	6	R	bar/23 8/7	-0.3138 ( -0.0926)
			0.4373 0.1187 0.0062 - 0.5627 0.1978 0.0096 -0.2080 -0.3138 0.0025 0.0016 0.0003 - 0.0025 0.0025 0.0007 0.0072 0.0187
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054989086 and quasi-random dice
			Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Tough Third Roll from Chicago
  Stick -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 4:38 a.m.
  • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 6:18 a.m.
  • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
    Peter G. -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 8:23 a.m.
    • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
      John Little -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 9:16 a.m.
  • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
    pontiac -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 9:59 a.m.
  • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 4:56 p.m.
    • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
      neilkaz -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 5:30 p.m.
  • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 6:49 p.m.
  • Tough Third Roll from Chicago
    Caryl Stephanson -- Monday, 3 March 2008, at 7:10 p.m.
    • Splot!
      Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 4 March 2008, at 5:44 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 4 March 2008, at 4:05 p.m.