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Kaz vs Sax Chicago #1 Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 5 March 2008, at 12:56 p.m.

In Response To: Kaz vs Sax Chicago #1 (neilkaz)

This must be too obvious to everyone and OTB I was ready to cube as soon as I saw Steve was forced to make his previous play. What surprised me was the ease of Steve's take as OTB I think I didn't give enough weight to my broken 6 pt and was unsure whether he had a take or not (noting how nice my G's are but taking into account his nice recube vig)

After some thought, Steve took

The score (after 0 games) is: Kaz 7, Sax 6 (match to 11 points)

Move number 7: Kaz on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Kaz 81, Sax 96
Position ID: du4EIwC7bQXAAA Match ID: MAFgAXAAMAAA

• Kaz doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.4163	(Money: +0.3771)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7504
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2496
3.	No double	+0.4769	-0.2734
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6419 0.1644 0.0015 - 0.3581 0.0687 0.0039 +0.4163 +0.4769 Standard error 0.0011 0.0019 0.0003 - 0.0011 0.0012 0.0003 0.0031 0.0052 Player Sax owns 2-cube 0.6463 0.1725 0.0086 - 0.3537 0.0698 0.0039 +1.0851 +0.7504 Standard error 0.0011 0.0029 0.0021 - 0.0011 0.0011 0.0012 0.0073 0.0099
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1166 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1055376181 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Kaz vs Sax Chicago #1
  neilkaz -- Tuesday, 4 March 2008, at 7:04 p.m.
  • Kaz vs Sax Chicago #1 Rollout
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 5 March 2008, at 12:56 p.m.
    • Kaz vs Sax Chicago #1 Rollout
      Dan Pelton -- Thursday, 6 March 2008, at 6:48 a.m.