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OTB and Rollout

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 7 March 2008, at 4:13 a.m.

In Response To: Sax vs Kaz Chicago #2 (neilkaz)

I couldn't pass this and Steve and I both agreed D/T were clear as shown in the rollout. He dances almost 70% and then I often lift the blot and have killed 5's and 6's and hope to throw a 3 before all hell breaks loose. In the game he missed me and I later drilled him with a 63 perfecta and he danced twice on my 3 pt board to lose the match.

The score (after 0 games) is: Kaz 7, Sax 6 (match to 11 points)

Move number 5: Sax on roll, cube decision?

Pip counts: Kaz 65, Sax 101
Position ID: 97YFACB27gYQQA Match ID: UQlgAXAAMAAA

• Sax doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.2870	(Money: +0.2531)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.7116
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.2884
3.	No double	+0.6014	-0.1102
Proper cube action:		Redouble, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Sax owns 2-cube 0.6123 0.1081 0.0031 - 0.3877 0.0808 0.0020 +0.2870 +0.6014 Standard error 0.0007 0.0008 0.0001 - 0.0007 0.0020 0.0005 0.0020 0.0024 Player Kaz owns 4-cube 0.6242 0.0952 0.0035 - 0.3758 0.1329 0.0011 +0.7116 +0.7116 Standard error 0.0006 0.0009 0.0002 - 0.0006 0.0038 0.0004 0.0034 0.0034
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
3846 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1055227238 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Sax vs Kaz Chicago #2
  neilkaz -- Wednesday, 5 March 2008, at 10:59 p.m.
  • Sax vs Kaz Chicago #2
    PersianLord -- Thursday, 6 March 2008, at 12:13 a.m.
  • Need time to think...
    Chuck Bower -- Thursday, 6 March 2008, at 10:37 p.m.
    • OK I'll wait on posting the results for a bit-nt
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 6 March 2008, at 10:56 p.m.
  • Sax vs Kaz Chicago #2
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 7 March 2008, at 2:56 a.m.
  • OTB and Rollout
    neilkaz -- Friday, 7 March 2008, at 4:13 a.m.
  • Sax vs Kaz Chicago #2
    Chuck Bower -- Friday, 7 March 2008, at 5:33 p.m.