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31P-22E-52S-54 -- Rollout and further questions

Posted By: Igor
Date: Saturday, 20 December 2014, at 3:50 p.m.

In Response To: 31P-22E-52S-54 (Igor)

While safe play was clearly best in 31P-22E-51S-54, running is virtually tied with the safe play here. Why??? This game is too hard...





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 159
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aB-C-C---dE---c-db-B---:0:0:1:54:0:0:3:0:6
Blue to play 54

1.Rollout122/13eq: -0.077
Player:
Opponent:		49.12% (G:9.93% B:0.49%)
50.88% (G:15.16% B:0.42%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.081...-0.074) - [95.7%]
Duration: 2 hours 10 minutes
2.Rollout113/4eq: -0.082 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		47.58% (G:11.92% B:0.40%)
52.42% (G:11.82% B:0.45%)		Conf.: ± 0.004 (-0.086...-0.078) - [3.9%]
Duration: 1 hour 59 minutes
3.Rollout113/9 8/3* eq: -0.085 (-0.008)
Player:
Opponent:		47.67% (G:14.63% B:0.58%)
52.33% (G:14.67% B:0.66%)		Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.090...-0.080) - [0.5%]
Duration: 2 hours 13 minutes
1 20736 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 75162991
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

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