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BGonline.org Forums
Rollout
Posted By: Misja In Response To: OLM Sat. March 8th (Stick)
Date: Sunday, 9 March 2008, at 4:04 p.m.
I turns out that the decision is not close at all. Almost a trip to BK for me ...
The score (after 0 games) is: Stick 2, readers (match to 15 points)
Move number 3: readers to play 46
Stick 118
readers 103 Position ID: 7LwxAAY1dwcAAw Match ID: cAn6ASAAGAAA
• readers moves 7/1 6/2
Cube decision 2-ply cubeless equity +0.138 (Money: +0.136) 0.562 0.074 0.001 - 0.438 0.064 0.000 Cubeful equities: 1. No double +0.197 2. Double, pass +1.000 +0.803 3. Double, take -0.045 -0.242 Proper cube action: No double, take (23.1%)
Alert: doubtful move ( -0.093)
# Ply Move Equity 1 R 20/16 20/14 +0.244
0.574 0.071 0.005 - 0.426 0.103 0.005 +0.116 +0.244 0.001 0.001 0.001 - 0.001 0.002 0.001 0.003 0.007 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1273183647 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] • 2 R 7/1 6/2 +0.151 ( -0.093)
0.554 0.097 0.002 - 0.446 0.078 0.002 +0.127 +0.151 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.003 0.006 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1273183647 and quasi-random dice Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 2 7/1 5/1 +0.081 ( -0.162) 0.536 0.071 0.000 - 0.464 0.082 0.001 4 0 7/3 7/1 -0.012 ( -0.255) 0.497 0.081 0.001 - 0.503 0.080 0.001 5 0 20/14 6/2 -0.077 ( -0.320) 0.489 0.100 0.001 - 0.511 0.130 0.003
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