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BGonline.org Forums
Woolsey's law
Posted By: PersianLord In Response To: Woolsey's law (Matt Cohn-Geier)
Date: Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 5:52 a.m.
>>Suppose you are up in a match, -2,-4. You have very good gammon chances. You're not sure whether the position is ND/T, ND/P, or maybe even D/T or D/P, but you figure there is a lesser chance of the last two. And you don't know whether your opponent will take or drop, since he's as clueless as you are, but it doesn't figure to be a gross blunder one way or the other. On the other hand, if you make a mistake and double when it's really ND/T, and your opponent takes, you've likely given up a lot more equity than he would have if he passed.
I guess that Woolsey's law is applied when at least you have a clear clue about the position.
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