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OLM 12th - ROLLOUT, vote before reading

Posted By: Peter G.
Date: Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 7:30 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Wed. March 12th (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 2, Blue 5 (match to 15 points)

Move number 3: Blue to play 35

White	143
Blue	150
Position ID: 0OfBAyCM5+ABDA Match ID: cIn1ASAAKAAA

• Blue moves 13/10 6/1*

Cube decision
2-ply cubeless equity		+0.161	(Money: +0.144)
	0.535 0.169 0.005 - 0.465 0.097 0.003
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.172
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.828
3.	Double, take	-0.142	-0.314
Proper cube action:		No double, take (27.5%)

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	13/10 6/1*	-0.022
			0.484 0.158 0.004 - 0.516 0.101 0.004 +0.023 -0.022 0.002 0.003 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.005 0.011
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			625 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056198991 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	13/10 13/8	-0.071 ( -0.050)
			0.477 0.123 0.004 - 0.523 0.096 0.004 -0.025 -0.071 0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.001 0.006 0.013
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			625 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056198991 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	13/5	-0.091 ( -0.069)
			0.470 0.129 0.004 - 0.530 0.100 0.003 -0.034 -0.091 0.002 0.002 0.000 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.005 0.012
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			624 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056198991 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	2	13/10 8/3	-0.098 ( -0.076)
			0.465 0.129 0.003 - 0.535 0.104 0.002
	5	2	8/5 6/1*	-0.130 ( -0.108)
			0.460 0.152 0.004 - 0.540 0.124 0.004

Annotation

1. Cubeful 2-ply 13/10 6/1* Eq.: +0.018

0.491 0.165 0.004 - 0.509 0.101 0.003

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

2. Cubeful 2-ply 13/10 13/8 Eq.: -0.037 ( -0.054)

0.481 0.130 0.003 - 0.519 0.096 0.002

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

3. Cubeful 2-ply 13/5 Eq.: -0.039 ( -0.056)

0.479 0.136 0.003 - 0.521 0.097 0.002

2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

1. Cubeful 4-ply 13/10 6/1* Eq.: +0.012

0.489 0.163 0.004 - 0.511 0.101 0.003

4-ply cubeful prune

2. Cubeful 4-ply 13/10 13/8 Eq.: -0.031 ( -0.043)

0.482 0.132 0.003 - 0.518 0.095 0.003

4-ply cubeful prune

3. Cubeful 4-ply 13/5 Eq.: -0.050 ( -0.062)

0.477 0.135 0.003 - 0.523 0.097 0.003

4-ply cubeful prune

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Wed. March 12th
  Stick -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 8:29 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    John Little -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 9:10 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Havard Raddum -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 9:42 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Barry Murphy -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 10:27 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Peter G. -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 10:36 a.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Dave Ranson -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 12:30 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Stein Kulseth -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 12:43 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Ian Shaw -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 12:43 p.m.
    • OLM Wed. March 12th
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 2:49 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 1:12 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    sal pittelli -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 1:18 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Caryl Stephanson -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 4:15 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 5:26 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Misja -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 5:58 p.m.
  • OLM Wed. March 12th
    Dan Pelton -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 7:28 a.m.
  • OLM 12th - ROLLOUT, vote before reading
    Peter G. -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 7:30 a.m.