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Rollout of 53: 8/3 6/3 ... Double

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 2:42 p.m.

In Response To: 2-ply RO (neilkaz)

As has been noted, gnubg 2-ply does not double after 8/3 6/3 at this score.

The score (after 0 games) is: Woolsey 2, Readers 1 (match to 7 points)

Move number 5: Woolsey on roll, cube decision?

Woolsey	115
Readers	117
Position ID: bLshAyDGthkHAA Match ID: MAHgACAACAAA

• Woolsey doubles

Alert: double decision marked doubtful

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.478	(Money: +0.477)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.769
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.231
3.	No double	+0.762	-0.006
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.724 0.060 0.001 - 0.276 0.032 0.001 +0.478 +0.762 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.002 0.004 Player Readers owns 2-cube 0.732 0.061 0.001 - 0.268 0.029 0.000 +0.949 +0.769 Standard error 0.001 0.001 0.000 - 0.001 0.001 0.000 0.004 0.005
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
2592 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056762119 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.434 (Money: +0.440)
0.704 0.067 0.001 - 0.296 0.037 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.619
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.381)
3. Double, take +0.593 ( -0.026)
Proper cube action: No double, take (6.3%)

Messages In This Thread

• How do you play it?
  Dan Pelton -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 1:37 a.m.
  • How do you play it?
    sal pittelli -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 2:45 a.m.
  • How do you play it?
    neilkaz -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 3:57 a.m.
  • How do you play it?
    happyjuggler0 -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 7:50 a.m.
  • How do you play it?
    Dave Ranson -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 8:21 a.m.
  • How do you play it?
    pontiac -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 11:35 a.m.
  • How do you play it?
    Caryl Stephanson -- Tuesday, 11 March 2008, at 4:04 p.m.
  • How do you play it? Prelim RO
    Dan Pelton -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 4:53 a.m.
    • How do you play it? Prelim RO
      Stick -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 8:18 a.m.
    • How do you play it? Prelim RO
      neilkaz -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 3:13 p.m.
    • How do you play it? Prelim RO
      Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 12 March 2008, at 3:34 p.m.
    • 2-ply RO
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 1:18 a.m.
      • 2-ply RO
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 5:01 a.m.
        • Rollout of 53: 8/3 6/3 ... Double
          Daniel Murphy -- Thursday, 13 March 2008, at 2:42 p.m.
    • How do you play it? 2ply Gnu RO
      Dan Pelton -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 7:45 a.m.
  • How do you play it? Money Game RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Friday, 14 March 2008, at 12:28 p.m.