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OLM Sat. March 15th - Play RO 8/2* ... dance

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 17 March 2008, at 4:32 p.m.

In Response To: OLM Sat. March 15th - Play (Stick)

Gnubg 2-ply cashes. This rollout says Blue should play on.

How does that affect the rollout of the 6-1 play, where Gnubg cashes?

The score (after 0 games) is: Stickee 2, Stickers 5 (match to 15 points)

Move number 7: Stickers on roll, cube decision?

Stickee	135
Stickers	122
Position ID: xj2DAWBrtogIDA Match ID: UQngASAAKAAA

• Stickers doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.071)!

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.980	(Money: +0.985)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+1.071
2.	Double, take	+1.514	+0.442
3.	Double, pass	+1.000	-0.071
Proper cube action:		Too good to redouble, pass (13.9%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Stickers owns 2-cube 0.762 0.532 0.007 - 0.238 0.073 0.005 +0.980 +1.071 Standard error 0.003 0.005 0.001 - 0.003 0.003 0.001 0.010 0.014 Player Stickee owns 4-cube 0.772 0.536 0.009 - 0.228 0.074 0.007 +1.800 +1.514 Standard error 0.003 0.006 0.004 - 0.003 0.003 0.002 0.019 0.028
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
195 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1056377125 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.12
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.930 (Money: +0.927)
0.745 0.506 0.013 - 0.255 0.080 0.003
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, pass +1.000
2. Double, take +1.293 ( +0.293)
3. No double +0.991 ( -0.009)
Proper cube action: Redouble, pass

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
  Stick -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 10:46 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    pontiac -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 1:23 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 5:38 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    John Little -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 5:44 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    Ian Shaw -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 6:00 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    Jim Allen -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 6:07 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    misja -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 6:58 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    sal pittelli -- Saturday, 15 March 2008, at 7:43 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    garyo -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 5:34 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    bob koca -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 6:02 a.m.
    • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
      Daniel Murphy -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 6:23 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    lucky player -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 7:28 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    Stein Kulseth -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 3:13 p.m.
  • Is it still Saturday in Columbus?
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 5:09 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play
    sal pittelli -- Sunday, 16 March 2008, at 7:36 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - RO coming (NM) *NM*
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 3:44 a.m.
    • cubeful RO sends some of us to BK
      neilkaz -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 4:13 a.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play -RO
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 1:49 p.m.
    • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play -RO
      Stick -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 1:59 p.m.
    • History lesson...
      Chuck Bower -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 3:07 p.m.
      • History lesson...
        Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 3:17 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play RO 13/6 ... dance
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 4:02 p.m.
  • OLM Sat. March 15th - Play RO 8/2* ... dance
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 17 March 2008, at 4:32 p.m.