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BGonline.org Forums
OLM 20150331A The Prime Factors
Posted By: Havard Raddum In Response To: OLM 20150331A The Prime Factors (Jason Lee)
Date: Wednesday, 1 April 2015, at 5:32 p.m.
Estimating the risks after hitting with 6/3* and after making the four. If playing 6/3*, I think we should stop on the 3 since the Dillies' 3's are duplicated for hitting and covering their blot. So, after 6/3* 6/5 the opponents' 3x, 11 and 12 are really good, 14 rolls in total. After 7/4 5/4, then 6x, 33, 32 and sort of 31 are good, say 15 rolls in total. So it seems to be more risky to not hit. moreover, I think the Dillies will have better use of the cube if they escape with a 6 next roll, than if they massively lose their market by hitting a blot on our three. So I say we attack, and try to decide the game here and now.
6/3* 6/5
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