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O'Hagan's Law Video by Stick

Posted By: Phil Simborg
Date: Thursday, 14 May 2015, at 1:36 a.m.

In Response To: O'Hagan's Law Video by Stick (Wolfgang)

Stick did a great job. For the lower-level players, however, I always stress that you use Woolsey's Law first and see if you are sure it is a take. If you are, then, the only reason to double is too many market losers, and the best approach is O'Hagan's Law.

Now, to add to O'Hagan's Law, yes, you can use it for redoubles, but simply realize that in money games and NMS you need to have more market losers...depending on the position, instead of 9 usually about 10-11.

And what about match scores? Well, you still need to lose your market 25 percent of the time for most scores to be a double, but you must consider that when the take point is higher you lose your market more, and when the take point is lower, you have to be better to lose your market.

Stick's video also shows the beauty of using Dice Distribution to check yourself and make sure you are really seeing the Market Loser and the Anti-Market losers, and Dice Distribution also gives you a pretty good read on how things look the rest of the rolls.

Note that when Stick pulled up Dice Distribution, the first thing he did was hit 4 ply, otherwise you are getting a 1-ply answer...hell, you can get that from Herb Roman!

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