[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

OLM 20150701 The Prime Factors -- CONSULTATION

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 1 July 2015, at 9:31 p.m.

In Response To: OLM 20150701 The Prime Factors -- CONSULTATION (Jason Lee)

I am confident about what the rollouts show in money play. Bob had it exactly right. Four plays are somewhat close, and a fifth is within 15 or 20 millipoints. In order, they are:

  1. U (Up) = 24/21, 24/20
  2. D (Down) = 13/10, 13/9
  3. S (Split) = 24/20, 13/10
  4. Z (Reverse split) = 24/21, 13/9
  5. X (Hit and split) = 24/21, 6/2*

At the current score, gammons are probably devalued slightly for both sides. That disinclines me to play D or X, which might win extra gammons. I am not sure whether the same consideration should also devalue U a bit. Is U a gammon-save play? I'm not sure. I can't remember what the DMP play is either.

My guess is that U, S, and Z are all close. I don't care for D or X. They give up too much when we are hit.

U (Up) = 24/21, 24/20

Mike

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.