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Rollout: It's a trap!

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Monday, 3 August 2015, at 11:53 p.m.

In Response To: It's a trap! (Timothy Chow)

At gammon go, the rollout says to go for an aggressive trap play but without leaving a direct shot.

For comparison, I also rolled out a few plays for money. I see now that I neglected to roll out 8/5 8/2 for money; that was an oversight, but as I recall, it was pretty far down the list.





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 76
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-bBCBBB-----A--A--bbbaf-:0:0:1:63:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout18/5 8/2eq: +0.941
Player:
Opponent:
73.74% (G:23.33% B:1.30%)
26.26% (G:4.11% B:0.03%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.937...+0.946) - [100.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 59 seconds
2.Rollout114/8 5/2eq: +0.917 (-0.024)
Player:
Opponent:
76.36% (G:19.51% B:0.88%)
23.64% (G:2.69% B:0.05%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.913...+0.922) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 06 seconds
3.Rollout117/11 5/2eq: +0.894 (-0.048)
Player:
Opponent:
74.16% (G:20.53% B:1.22%)
25.84% (G:4.24% B:0.07%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.889...+0.899) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 01 second
4.Rollout18/2 5/2eq: +0.892 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:
71.45% (G:23.15% B:1.75%)
28.55% (G:6.91% B:0.08%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.887...+0.897) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 57 seconds
5.Rollout114/5eq: +0.884 (-0.057)
Player:
Opponent:
75.58% (G:18.62% B:0.90%)
24.42% (G:2.84% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.879...+0.889) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 22 seconds
6.Rollout117/8eq: +0.878 (-0.064)
Player:
Opponent:
75.26% (G:18.62% B:1.03%)
24.74% (G:2.19% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.873...+0.882) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 39 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2


Unlimited game:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 76
Unlimited Game
pip: 98
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-B-bBCBBB-----A--A--bbbaf-:1:-1:1:63:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 63

1.Rollout114/8 5/2eq: +0.648
Player:
Opponent:
77.95% (G:16.87% B:0.55%)
22.05% (G:1.53% B:0.00%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.643...+0.652) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 37 seconds
2.Rollout114/5eq: +0.627 (-0.020)
Player:
Opponent:
77.70% (G:15.37% B:0.49%)
22.30% (G:1.24% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.623...+0.632) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 00 second
3.Rollout117/8eq: +0.626 (-0.022)
Player:
Opponent:
77.27% (G:15.70% B:0.54%)
22.73% (G:1.18% B:0.01%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.621...+0.630) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 18 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

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