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Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 4 April 2008, at 7:16 a.m.

In Response To: Doubles Cube Action from Pitt. (Stick)

I overvalued the play of the ducks and followed it up with still overvalueing (sp?) this position. We cubed, rolled pretty rancid, and got G'ed for the match.

The score (after 0 games) is: user 3, gnubg 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 7: gnubg on roll, cube decision?

user147


1O ' '2X '4X1X2X '1X '1X

 ' '2X2O '4O2O3O2O ' '2X

gnubg137

Position ID: mNekAQyYtxsAUA Match ID: cAngADAAAAAA

Cube analysis
Rollout cubeless equity +0.1885 (Money: +0.1671)

Cubeful equities:
1. No double +0.3554
2. Double, pass +1.0000 ( +0.6446)
3. Double, take +0.2002 ( -0.1552)
Proper cube action: No double, take (19.4%)

Rollout details:
Centered 1-cube:
0.5648 0.1618 0.0069 - 0.4352 0.1182 0.0129 CL +0.1885 CF +0.3554
[0.0031 0.0030 0.0009 - 0.0031 0.0042 0.0035 CL 0.0093 CF 0.0211]

Player user owns 2-cube:
0.5692 0.1603 0.0059 - 0.4308 0.1213 0.0145 CL +0.3339 CF +0.2002
[0.0037 0.0037 0.0010 - 0.0037 0.0047 0.0032 CL 0.0214 CF 0.0259]
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
431 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1053283826 and quasi-random dice
Play: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 12 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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