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Results XG ++ whats your play here? five. Still an explanation for the best play needed :D

Posted By: scotty
Date: Monday, 5 October 2015, at 9:02 a.m.

In Response To: Results XG ++ whats your play here? five. Still an explanation for the best play needed :D (Konstantin)

Explanation: Having seen the rollout, and now see the plays in order of equity, the top 3 plays all step up from the 22 to 21 point. This suggests that XG is telling us the top priority is to increase the chances of escape with this roll.

Why is 8/7(2) better than 3/2*(2)? Possibly because it increases the chances of priming. It's difficult to build a solid prime if both the 8 and 2 points are made. Both hitting plays give more gammons, but cost more losses than they are worth. This might suggest the the priming play is simply more effective.

OTB, I likely would have hit both blots in our board for a .157 blunder. It's difficult to understand that a double hit could be so wrong.

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