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Money cube - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Tuesday, 8 April 2008, at 10:49 p.m.

In Response To: Money cube (Keene)

The score (after 0 games) is: OnTheBar 0, LivingDangerously 0

Move number 19: OnTheBar on roll, cube decision?

OnTheBar	102
LivingDangerously	132
Position ID: ZLeDBRBz2woAQg Match ID: MAEAAAAAAAAA

• OnTheBar doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.531
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.802
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.198
3.	No double	+0.450	-0.352
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.596 0.436 0.008 - 0.404 0.100 0.004 +0.531 +0.450 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.002 0.000 0.004 0.009 Player LivingDangerously owns 2-cube 0.608 0.464 0.008 - 0.392 0.104 0.006 +1.156 +0.802 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.001 - 0.002 0.002 0.000 0.013 0.021
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054271900 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 1.96 (min. 648 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Shockingly large take. One of those positions where it looks like almost every number hits and gets you gammoned (which of course, almost all the hitting numbers do..)

Messages In This Thread

• Money cube
  Keene -- Monday, 7 April 2008, at 3:59 p.m.
  • Money cube
    Keene -- Tuesday, 8 April 2008, at 2:46 p.m.
    • Money cube
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Tuesday, 8 April 2008, at 3:14 p.m.
      • Money cube
        neilkaz -- Tuesday, 8 April 2008, at 5:15 p.m.
        • Money cube
          Matt Cohn-Geier -- Wednesday, 9 April 2008, at 5:35 a.m.
  • Money cube
    Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 8 April 2008, at 9:18 p.m.
  • Money cube - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Tuesday, 8 April 2008, at 10:49 p.m.