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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Tuesday, 22 December 2015, at 8:36 p.m.

In Response To: Play this 31 at GS (John O'Hagan)

Got this one right OTB - 8/5 2/1. Compared to 8/5 8/7, this is slightly better on the eleven that hit after either play and clearly better after the 23 that miss after either play. The gain on these 34 outweighs the loss from the 2 extra hitting numbers. Extra wins/extra g losses is way over 1.0 which makes it correct at GS.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 96
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 125
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-ACbBBB-B----------cbcbcC-:0:0:1:31:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 31

1.Rollout18/5 2/1eq: -1.225
Player:
Opponent:		20.19% (G:2.29% B:0.04%)
79.81% (G:31.43% B:9.90%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-1.231...-1.219) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds
2.Rollout18/7 8/5eq: -1.274 (-0.049)
Player:
Opponent:		17.44% (G:1.91% B:0.07%)
82.56% (G:31.16% B:8.64%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-1.280...-1.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds
3.Rollout15/4 5/2eq: -1.316 (-0.091)
Player:
Opponent:		12.49% (G:0.84% B:0.01%)
87.51% (G:28.27% B:6.22%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-1.321...-1.310) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds
4.Rollout14/1 2/1eq: -1.365 (-0.140)
Player:
Opponent:		15.22% (G:1.29% B:0.02%)
84.78% (G:33.46% B:10.56%)		Conf.: ± 0.006 (-1.371...-1.358) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 36 seconds
5.3-ply8/4eq: -1.370 (-0.145)
Player:
Opponent:		16.90% (G:2.40% B:0.07%)
83.10% (G:35.37% B:3.34%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

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