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BGonline.org Forums
probability for gammons in rollout?
Posted By: Daniel Murphy In Response To: probability for gammons in rollout? (Klaus Evers)
Date: Wednesday, 16 April 2008, at 1:50 p.m.
So, where do the additional 4.2% gammons come from after D/T?
Some of them come from White not bothering to run off the gammon at DMP. The only rollout number that matters after Double/Take is games won: 71.74%. Ignore the "30.15%" gammons. (And the "3.24%" backgammons!)
What's Blue's doubling window on a 2-cube leading 4-away 5-away when he wins 25% gammons and loses 12.5% gammons?
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