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OTB & RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Monday, 14 March 2016, at 8:33 p.m.

In Response To: 33 at GG (John O'Hagan)

Guessed right on this play. Making the 21-point and switching from the 6-point is slightly better than the double switching play. 21 & 3 wins > 8% more while the double switch wins slightly < 8% more gammons, so the compromise play is slightly better. The money and DMP play of making the 18-point is 3rd best.

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 154 2 point match Crawford pip: 155 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a-aBBB-B--BcC--ad-cb---B-:0:0:1:33:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 33

1.	Rollout1	24/21(2) 6/3*(2)	eq: +0.654
	Player: Opponent: 61.75% (G:20.94% B:2.06%) 38.25% (G:8.94% B:0.87%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.650...+0.658) - [99.9%] Duration: 37 minutes 16 seconds
2.	Rollout1	6/3*(2) 4/1*(2)	eq: +0.645 (-0.009)
	Player: Opponent: 53.60% (G:28.65% B:1.24%) 46.40% (G:13.67% B:1.97%) Conf.: ± 0.004 (+0.641...+0.649) - [0.1%] Duration: 34 minutes 56 seconds
3.	Rollout2	24/18(2)	eq: +0.631 (-0.023)
	Player: Opponent: 64.91% (G:16.62% B:1.12%) 35.09% (G:8.84% B:0.73%) Conf.: ± 0.005 (+0.626...+0.635) - [0.0%] Duration: 19 minutes 16 seconds
4.	Rollout3	24/21 13/10 6/3*(2)	eq: +0.615 (-0.039)
	Player: Opponent: 58.15% (G:22.60% B:2.42%) 41.85% (G:11.95% B:2.06%) Conf.: ± 0.008 (+0.606...+0.623) - [0.0%] Duration: 8 minutes 26 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• 33 at GG
  John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 13 March 2016, at 3:23 p.m.
  • 33 at GG
    johnk -- Monday, 14 March 2016, at 6:21 p.m.
  • 33 at GG
    David Rockwell -- Monday, 14 March 2016, at 6:41 p.m.
  • OTB & RO
    John O'Hagan -- Monday, 14 March 2016, at 8:33 p.m.
    • OTB & RO
      Keene -- Monday, 14 March 2016, at 8:54 p.m.