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Ugh

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Monday, 28 April 2008, at 2:28 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Daniel Murphy)

That didn't take long.

33: 13/7(2) ... 23: 13/8

43: 10/3 ... Gnubg 2-ply Doubles to 2

2-ply Takes

The score (after 0 games) is: Gartner 3, Bower 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 6: Gartner on roll, cube decision?

Gartner146


1O ' '2X2X2X2X2X ' ' ' '

2O '1O2O3X3O2O2O '2O '2X

Bower105

Position ID: 09xmACDYtsGAAw Match ID: MAHgADAAAAAA

• Gartner doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.611(Money: +0.594)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000 
2.Double, take +1.324 +0.324
3.No double +0.943 -0.057
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.7770.0970.002-0.2230.0600.001 +0.611 +0.943
Standard error0.0040.0040.000-0.0040.0030.000 0.008 0.023
Player Bower owns 2-cube0.7900.1080.005-0.2100.0530.001 +1.523 +1.324
Standard error0.0060.0090.002-0.0060.0040.000 0.032 0.042
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
104 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054432833 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 


Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.568 (Money: +0.546)
0.756 0.095 0.002 - 0.244 0.063 0.001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.936
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.064)
3. No double +0.803 ( -0.133)
Proper cube action: Double, take

But neither did this:

33: 10/4 10/7(2) ... 32: 13/8

31: 6/3 4/3 ... Gnubg 2-ply Doubles to 2

Gnubg 2-ply Takes

The score (after 0 games) is: Gnubg WC 3, Me 17 0 (match to 7 points)

Move number 6: Gnubg WC on roll, cube decision?

Gnubg WC146


1O ' '2X2X2X2X2X ' ' '2O

2O '2O2O3X2O2O2O ' ' '2X

Me 17108

Position ID: s9kGAyDYtsGAAw Match ID: MAHgADAAAAAA

• Gnubg WC doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.557(Money: +0.543)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000 
2.Double, take +1.066 +0.066
3.No double +0.833 -0.167
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
 WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.7440.1220.005-0.2560.0700.001 +0.557 +0.833
Standard error0.0010.0020.001-0.0010.0010.000 0.003 0.007
Player Me 17 owns 2-cube0.7570.1270.012-0.2430.0640.003 +1.348 +1.066
Standard error0.0020.0030.002-0.0020.0010.001 0.010 0.013
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1054432833 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

 


Annotation

Cube analysis
2-ply cubeless equity +0.563 (Money: +0.533)
0.740 0.124 0.003 - 0.260 0.072 0.001
Cubeful equities:
1. Double, take +0.873
2. Double, pass +1.000 ( +0.127)
3. No double +0.781 ( -0.092)
Proper cube action: Double, take

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