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Semis 2014 LV Open RO

Posted By: gudgen
Date: Thursday, 21 April 2016, at 10:14 p.m.

In Response To: Semis 2014 LV Open (Igor)

is Player 1

score: 8
pip: 52
15 point match
pip: 39
score: 9

is Player 2
XGID=-DBEA-B------------ccc-ca-:2:1:1:00:9:8:0:15:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 75.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 75.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 24.54% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) 24.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities +0.509 +0.682
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0.701±0.001 (+0.700..+0.702)
Redouble/Take:+0.682 (-0.019)±0.000 (+0.682..+0.682)
Redouble/Pass:+1.000 (+0.299)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 5.7%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 2-ply, cube decisions: 3-ply Red
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6.2 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Thanks for the insightful comments. No surprises. But in the actual match- guess what? White thought for about 3 1/2 mins, then doubled. Black dropped it like a hot potato.

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