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PR and win ratio

Posted By: phil simborg
Date: Wednesday, 4 May 2016, at 3:42 p.m.

In Response To: PR and win ratio (Terje Pedersen)

I believe this is a completely false reading to make proper conclusions about PR and wins. There is no question in my mind that the lower the PR, the more you will win in the long run.

What you are showing is the PR of the games or matches won and lost, and that is not a true measure of the skill of the player. If I make 3 moves perfectly and then get blitzed I will have a very low PR and lose. That doesn't mean when I play better I will lose more...it just means I had a lower PR in games where I am being slaughtered and have only simple decisions to make.

The way to find a true ratio between PR and wins is to look at the overall PR of the player and see how often that player wins....I am sure you will see that lower PR players win more, in the long run.

As for Stick, or anyone with low PR's not winning much, I am convinced that is only short term, however, there may be other reasons.

Maybe Stick's average PR's on Sundays are worse than his average PR's the rest of the time? Maybe he is worse when he gets tired, or maybe he's not as good under pressure in the finals....or more likely, maybe a study of his luck factors will show he has simply been unlucky, and we all know that in the long run that will even out.

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