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a bias in rollouts

Posted By: Stick
Date: Friday, 2 May 2008, at 6:59 a.m.

In Response To: a bias in rollouts (Matt Cohn-Geier)

I guess overall I don't get where you're coming from. It seems to me as if you're assuming a bias, not actually taking it from any given evidence. You can't create a position to demonstate what you're talking about? Leads me to believe such a bias is either non existant or not worth worrying about.

You're assuming the rollout results are wrong and overestimating from the go - which I also don't understand.

I also roll out my permanent rollouts so many trials that, as you mentioned, who gives a shit if after 15k trials it's +.5506 or +.5505.

Stick

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