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BMS-USA--lets make it a little more interesting!

Posted By: Phil simborg
Date: Monday, 27 June 2016, at 7:31 p.m.

In Response To: BMS-USA 3rd Tournament This Thursday (Dmitriy Obukhov)

I am a supporter of BMAB and BMS as it does help us identify and recognize those who have achieved high skill in this great, difficult game. (I am not participating in Michigan myself because I will be in California next week.)

Maybe a little betting action would be fun and also raise a few bucks for the organization?

This event in Michigan has an exciting lineup of participants.

Not to slight anyone, but I believe the favorites to achieve the lowest PR's (in no particular order):

Talbot, Kazaross, Weaver, O'Hagan, and Sax.

So here are some interesting bets that I would book:

1. Will anyone else on the list end up with a lower PR than any of those 5? (I see two or three who might, especially if one of those 5 has an unlucky day and has to play a big back game or two.) I think it is 50/50 that someone might end up lower than one of those 5.

2. What is the over/under for the average PR for those 5 players? I would set the over/under at 4.4 PR. I know that all of them are capable of playing at under 4 PR and most of them will, but remember, we're talking average. If one of them has a bad day and plays at 5, which could easily happen, that would raise the average.

4. What would be the median PR? If you throw out the top two and the bottom two, what is the over/under for the remaining one in the middle? I would put that at 3.6.

5. What is the over/under on the lowest PR in a single match played by one of those 5? I would put it at 1.6.

So, if anyone is interested in any of these bets email me. I will cover the bet and charge you juice (you pay $110 to win $100) and I will donate the juice to BMS-USA. So that no one questions that I am giving the juice to them, before the event starts I will send Dmitriy a list of bets and he can confirm that he received his money. In addition to donating the juice, if I come out ahead on the bets, I will donate 10 percent of my net winnings to BMS-USA as well.

Note: I reserve to right to refuse to take any bet for any reason, but it may be because I have too much on one side; I will not take bets from people I don't know without a deposit; and there is no bet unless I have confirmed it by email. If any of these 5 dont play, or there are any new entrants who have ever been on the top 32 Giants List, all bets are automatically off (this could work to the advantage of either side.)

Also note that BEFORE I posted this I asked Dmitriy and Rick’s permission and got the okay to do this.

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