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How to use a MET in matchplay

Posted By: Casper Van der Tak
Date: Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 12:17 p.m.

In Response To: How to use a MET in matchplay (sebalotek)

This is somewhat unique because it is a last roll position - your either win or lose on the next exchange. And if you recube to 8, your opponent has an autorecube to 16 (which you take).

Your doubling window starts at around 90% (100%*56.26/(56.26+6.07)) and closes at around 94%, so you should not cube here with about 86%.

You can also calculate directly: you win 31/36 (86.11%) of the matches if you recube and 31/36 * 93.93% + 5/36*56.26% = 88.70% if you don't.

The key thing is not to forget the autorecube + take sequence.

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