[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Rollout Results Posted

Posted By: ah_clem
Date: Friday, 8 July 2016, at 12:58 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout Results Posted (Paul Weaver)

I'm sure I couldn't figure it out over the board, but I did notice (before you posted your rollout) that in the original position threes are duped to hit and make the prime, and only 33 hits and primes. So after looking at the original position in XG, I chowed a variant where I moved the checker on the 11 to the 10 (instead of the 9 in your variant) to give some additional numbers to h it and prime. XGR++ said it was still ND, and I shrugged and moved on.

This morning I decided to do a full rollout. With the checker on the ten point, it's razor thin.





White is Player 2

score: 5
pip: 93
9 point match
pip: 102
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=---BCCBBA-A-d------bd-abbA:0:0:1:00:3:5:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 51.06% (G:16.26% B:0.24%) 51.60% (G:15.90% B:0.23%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 48.94% (G:3.37% B:0.07%) 48.40% (G:3.42% B:0.07%)
Cubeless Equities +0.166 +0.300
Cubeful Equities
No double:-0.010 (-0.009)±0.005 (-0.015..-0.005)
Double/Take:-0.001±0.006 (-0.007..+0.005)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.001)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:98.8%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 10 minutes 51 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.