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Accounting for uncertainty

Posted By: Rick Janowski
Date: Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 3:03 a.m.

In Response To: Accounting for uncertainty (Casper Van der Tak)

I am not sure why that should matter.

It could be the case that doubling in the position is say a 0.025 error. It could also be the case that this wrong and that not doubling is a 0.025 error say. I (and others) don't know this, the best we can do over the board is guess. Because the gammon percentages are unlikely to be high in this position, cashing is unlikely to be a big mistake.

If I double now I risk making a single mistake. If I don't double now and my opponent dances, I could potentially make 2-4 repeater errors, depending on how quickly I am able to put builders in place to make the bar point.

Messages In This Thread

• Accounting for uncertainty
  Bob Koca -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:27 p.m.
  • Accounting for uncertainty
    Casper Van der Tak -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:41 p.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty
      Bob Koca -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:59 p.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 2:56 a.m.
  • Accounting for uncertainty
    Rick Janowski -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:50 p.m.
    • I am referring to second position there *NM*
      Bob Koca -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:52 p.m.
  • Accounting for uncertainty
    Rick Janowski -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 5:22 p.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty
      Bob Koca -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 5:29 p.m.
      • Accounting for uncertainty - Agreed *NM*
        Rick Janowski -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 5:37 p.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 3:57 a.m.
      • Accounting for uncertainty
        Rick Janowski -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 7:56 a.m.
        • Accounting for uncertainty
          neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 3:00 p.m.
          • Accounting for uncertainty
            Rick Janowski -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 3:55 p.m.
            • Accounting for uncertainty
              Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 4:21 p.m.
              • Accounting for uncertainty
                neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 4:48 p.m.
              • Accounting for uncertainty
                Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 3:03 a.m.
  • Accounting for uncertainty--Uncertainty works both ways
    Phil Simborg -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 3:08 a.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty--Uncertainty works both ways
      neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 3:25 a.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty--Uncertainty works both ways
      Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 9:13 p.m.
  • XGR++ RO
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 9 July 2016, at 2:56 p.m.
  • Accounting for uncertainty - Variant Position
    Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 3:45 a.m.
    • Accounting for uncertainty - Variant Position
      Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 6:43 a.m.
      • Accounting for uncertainty - Variant Position
        Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 9:30 a.m.
        • Accounting for uncertainty - Variant Position
          Casper Van der Tak -- Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 10:17 a.m.
          • Accounting for uncertainty - Variant Position
            Rick Janowski -- Sunday, 10 July 2016, at 6:32 p.m.