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any 3-point game is at worst almost a take

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 11 July 2016, at 4:06 p.m.

In Response To: any 3-point game is at worst almost a take (Seth)

There is an important concept you are overlooking. Here the position of your front checkers is not good. It looks to be a pass even gaining 5 more pips by moving checker on 11 to 6.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 120 Unlimited Game pip: 114 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=---bBBCBB--BbB---b-c-bb-b-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No double	Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	77.225% (G:4.040% B:0.078%)	77.638% (G:3.569% B:0.080%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	22.775% (G:0.980% B:0.008%)	22.362% (G:0.929% B:0.013%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.5758	+1.1597
Cubeful Equities
No double:	+0.9469 (-0.0531)	±0.0049 (+0.9421..+0.9518)
Double/Take:	+1.0111 (+0.0111)	±0.0091 (+1.0020..+1.0202)
Double/Pass:	+1.0000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 16132000 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		99.2%
Duration: 3 minutes 58 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Three Point Anchor Games
  Albert Steg -- Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 1:55 p.m.
  • Three Point Anchor Games
    Casper Van der Tak -- Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 2:03 p.m.
  • Three Point Anchor Games
    Igor -- Wednesday, 6 July 2016, at 2:56 p.m.
  • Three Point Anchor Games
    Joe Russell -- Thursday, 7 July 2016, at 3:22 a.m.
  • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
    Mochy -- Thursday, 7 July 2016, at 5:35 a.m.
    • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
      Casper Van der Tak -- Thursday, 7 July 2016, at 6:16 a.m.
    • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
      Albert Steg -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 2:20 p.m.
      • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
        Mochy -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 3:30 p.m.
      • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
        Bob Koca -- Friday, 8 July 2016, at 4:40 p.m.
    • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
      Seth -- Monday, 11 July 2016, at 2:57 a.m.
      • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
        Bob Koca -- Monday, 11 July 2016, at 4:06 p.m.
        • any 3-point game is at worst almost a take
          Seth -- Tuesday, 12 July 2016, at 12:53 a.m.