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BGonline.org Forums
Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
Posted By: Karl Frogner In Response To: Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open (Gus Contos)
Date: Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 2:22 p.m.
I think blue is(65-70)% favorite here. Use Niels number. For blue, RDW -5,-8 is 68%, NRDW -7,-8 is 56%, NRDL -9-6 is 33%, RDL -9,-4 is 21%. Gain is 12% and risk is 12%, so RDP = 50%. For white TW=((100-(blu-RDL))=79%. Dropp=((100-(blu-NRDW))=44%. TL=((100-(blu-RDW))=32%. TP = (Dropp-TL)/(TW-TL) = 12/47 around 25%+. So if I think right With blue have (65-70)% this is a RD/T.
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