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Rollout: Cube from Monte Carlo Open

Posted By: Gus Contos
Date: Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 11:59 a.m.

In Response To: Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open (Gus Contos)

		White is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 63 9 point match pip: 55 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=bDCDB-----A----A------cb--:1:1:1:00:0:1:0:9:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	74.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)	74.46% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	25.68% (G:0.26% B:0.01%)	25.54% (G:0.22% B:0.01%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.483	+1.033
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.804 (-0.063)	±0.005 (+0.798..+0.809)
Redouble/Take:	+0.867	±0.009 (+0.859..+0.876)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.000 (+0.133)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 0.5 second

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Kazaross XG2

When I showed this to several strong players, I got responses ranging from "I wouldn't redouble" to "I wouldn't take"--a sure sign that it's Redouble/Take!

Messages In This Thread

• Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
  Gus Contos -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 11:27 a.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    Casper Van der Tak -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 12:45 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    hominid -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 1:43 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    Karl Frogner -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 2:22 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    MishyPoo -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 3:55 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    ah_clem -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 4:44 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    johnk -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 5:31 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    Keene -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 6:08 p.m.
  • Streamed Matches ??
    Seth -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 10:05 p.m.
    • Live Streaming and Online Bracket from Monte Carlo
      tem_sat -- Tuesday, 26 July 2016, at 11:19 p.m.
  • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
    neilkaz -- Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 12:46 a.m.
    • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
      TraumaBG -- Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 1:15 a.m.
      • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 3:16 a.m.
        • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
          johnk -- Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 1:14 p.m.
          • Interesting cube from Monte Carlo Open
            TraumaBG -- Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 2:12 p.m.
  • Rollout: Cube from Monte Carlo Open
    Gus Contos -- Wednesday, 27 July 2016, at 11:59 a.m.