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Rollouts

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 5 August 2016, at 8:09 p.m.

In Response To: Apropos Keene's recent post... (Timothy Chow)

The rollout favors the banana split at DMP but not for money.

I'll be interested to see the rollout of Karol's cube decision.





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
Unlimited Game
pip: 134
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BBB-BA---Ba-abbd-bb-AA:1:1:1:53:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout1Bar/20 9/6eq: -0.467
Player:
Opponent:
32.50% (G:10.32% B:1.04%)
67.50% (G:33.31% B:1.30%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.474...-0.460) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 54 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/20 4/1* eq: -0.547 (-0.080)
Player:
Opponent:
33.06% (G:13.29% B:0.95%)
66.94% (G:41.45% B:6.56%)
Conf.: ± 0.010 (-0.557...-0.537) - [0.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 46 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release


DMP:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 112
1 point match
pip: 134
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aB-BBB-BA---Ba-abbd-bb-AA:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 53

1.Rollout1Bar/20 4/1* eq: -0.335
Player:
Opponent:
33.26% (G:12.45% B:0.77%)
66.74% (G:43.72% B:11.66%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.340...-0.329) - [100.0%]
Duration: 10 minutes 56 seconds
2.Rollout1Bar/20 9/6eq: -0.349 (-0.014)
Player:
Opponent:
32.54% (G:11.01% B:2.28%)
67.46% (G:34.74% B:4.43%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.354...-0.344) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 53 seconds
3.Rollout1Bar/20 13/10eq: -0.378 (-0.043)
Player:
Opponent:
31.11% (G:10.64% B:2.01%)
68.89% (G:42.80% B:6.15%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.383...-0.372) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 57 seconds
4.Rollout1Bar/20 8/5eq: -0.393 (-0.058)
Player:
Opponent:
30.33% (G:10.87% B:1.45%)
69.67% (G:41.55% B:6.59%)
Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.398...-0.388) - [0.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 44 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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