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Race double AtS

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 7:33 a.m.

In Response To: Race double AtS (John O'Hagan)

Leader's dead cube tp is 21% ATS while the trailer's 4-cube tp on anything but a last roll position is 16%. So the leader's true tp is ~19% - 19.5%.

How do you conclude the 19-19.5% true tp?

My calc was:
pass(4a/3a)=57%; take/loose(3a/3a)=50%; take/win(1a*/5a)=84%
dead cube - 7/(27+7) = 20.5%
vig for money is about 1/7 with tp for recubes of ca. 22%
vig here seems about 1/9 with tp for recube of ca. 16% (about 1/3 smaller)
that gave me 20.5% * 8/9 = about 18.2%

Just tried some long race setups with XG and it seems the precise tp is between 18.9 - 19.0%.

Messages In This Thread

• Race double AtS
  Karol Szczerek -- Saturday, 10 September 2016, at 9:32 p.m.
  • Race double AtS
    Sean Garber -- Saturday, 10 September 2016, at 10:21 p.m.
    • Race double AtS
      Sean Garber -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 5:11 a.m.
    • Race double AtS
      Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 7:36 a.m.
  • Race double AtS
    John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 2:49 a.m.
    • Race double AtS
      Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 7:33 a.m.
      • Race double AtS
        John O'Hagan -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 1:20 p.m.
  • Race double AtS - RO
    Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 8:15 p.m.