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From hopeless to hopeful to a cube decision

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Friday, 9 May 2008, at 12:48 a.m.

In Response To: From hopeless to hopeful to a cube decision (happyjuggler0)

Hmm..first things first...can Blue win 25% of the time if he doesn't fear a G so he can leave things slotted ? 42 and 32 are crushing and if we hit and hop and Blue misses there's a chance to skate home or roll a 2 and basically be a claimer. If a 2nd checker is hit, Blue is happy but has lots of work to do to win with 3 dead checkers and two open points.

All in all, I doubt that Blue can win 25%. It wouldn't shock me if he did, but I doubt by much.

Now is White TG ...I have my doubts considering he often gets a 2nd checker hit, but it wouldn't shock me if it was TG, but I doubt by a big margin.

The usual reaction to the above is to punt and roll, noting that the opp has to worry about G's with a centered cube and could screw up, but since I have serious doubts this is TG, and am certain that Blue at best has a bare take I cube it.

D/P for me

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