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Midgame 43 - RO

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Monday, 12 September 2016, at 5:40 p.m.

In Response To: Midgame 43 (Karol Szczerek)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 147 Unlimited Game pip: 149 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=----b-EBB---bE--ae-e----A-:0:0:1:43:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 43

1.	Rollout1	24/21 13/9	eq: -0,032
	Player: Opponent: 50,00% (G:7,71% B:0,34%) 50,00% (G:11,47% B:0,32%) Conf.: ± 0,009 (-0,040...-0,023) - [100,0%] Duration: 1 hour 05 minutes
2.	Rollout1	24/20 6/3	eq: -0,056 (-0,024)
	Player: Opponent: 49,45% (G:6,66% B:0,31%) 50,55% (G:11,38% B:0,28%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,061...-0,050) - [0,0%] Duration: 1 hour 02 minutes
3.	Rollout2	13/6	eq: -0,073 (-0,042)
	Player: Opponent: 48,78% (G:7,04% B:0,28%) 51,22% (G:11,37% B:0,28%) Conf.: ± 0,010 (-0,083...-0,063) - [0,0%] Duration: 29 minutes 36 seconds
4.	Rollout2	13/9 6/3	eq: -0,076 (-0,044)
	Player: Opponent: 48,67% (G:9,69% B:0,42%) 51,33% (G:13,39% B:0,51%) Conf.: ± 0,009 (-0,084...-0,067) - [0,0%] Duration: 32 minutes 09 seconds
5.	Rollout3	7/3 6/3	eq: -0,130 (-0,099)
	Player: Opponent: 47,36% (G:8,74% B:0,40%) 52,64% (G:13,55% B:0,38%) Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,142...-0,119) - [0,0%] Duration: 14 minutes 15 seconds
6.	Rollout3	6/3 6/2	eq: -0,168 (-0,137)
	Player: Opponent: 47,03% (G:7,71% B:0,28%) 52,97% (G:14,52% B:0,39%) Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,181...-0,156) - [0,0%] Duration: 14 minutes 42 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.208.pre-release

Kevin seems to be on the right track here.

I still don't feel good about coming under that many attackers with the back guy, which is usually a very bad idea. But here that looks to be not much of a risk at all. He poh, we can cover the slot with 4x. He hits from the anchor, we can anchor up or return hit from the bar, look how bad his 5x (those which doesn't poh) play: 51, 53, 56. Can he hit loose inside his board efficiently? Look how awkward 21, 23, 26, 41, 43, 46 play for him.

The awkwardness of opp's responses makes the pure positional play of 24/21 13/9 worth it.

Messages In This Thread

• Midgame 43
  Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 8:28 p.m.
  • Midgame 43
    Anchor Bananas -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 10:04 p.m.
    • Midgame 43
      Taper_Mike -- Monday, 12 September 2016, at 1:38 a.m.
  • Midgame 43
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 11 September 2016, at 11:20 p.m.
  • 51S-61P-32@-65R-54D-43
    Taper_Mike -- Monday, 12 September 2016, at 1:30 a.m.
  • Midgame 43
    Kevin Finch -- Monday, 12 September 2016, at 1:02 p.m.
  • Midgame 43 - RO
    Karol Szczerek -- Monday, 12 September 2016, at 5:40 p.m.
    • 51S-61P-32@-65R-54D-43 – Postmortem Analysis
      Taper_Mike -- Wednesday, 14 September 2016, at 4:12 p.m.
  • Midgame 43
    ah_clem -- Monday, 12 September 2016, at 6:25 p.m.