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Playing the player #1 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Friday, 9 May 2008, at 5:15 a.m.

In Response To: Playing the player #1 (Keene)

Terrifying how big a cube this one is! Glad white takes deep..

The score (after 5 games) is: white 7, blue 6 (match to 9 points)

Move number 6: blue to play 64

white	145
blue	151
Position ID: TOfBASKwz8EBMA Match ID: cAkzAXAAMAAA

• blue moves 24/20*/14

Alert: missed double ( -0.090)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.304	(Money: +0.238)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.723
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.277
3.	No double	+0.632	-0.090
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.579 0.215 0.020 - 0.421 0.139 0.016 +0.304 +0.632 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.002 - 0.002 0.005 0.003 0.007 0.012 Player white owns 2-cube 0.581 0.217 0.038 - 0.419 0.157 0.033 +0.723 +0.723 Standard error 0.003 0.003 0.005 - 0.003 0.007 0.005 0.018 0.018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 826034816 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	24/20*/14	+0.790
			0.629 0.201 0.011 - 0.371 0.095 0.003
	2	2	24/20* 24/18	+0.783 ( -0.007)
			0.624 0.183 0.011 - 0.376 0.097 0.002
	3	2	24/20* 13/7	+0.625 ( -0.165)
			0.582 0.213 0.013 - 0.418 0.114 0.005
	4	0	24/20* 8/2	+0.512 ( -0.278)
			0.565 0.198 0.013 - 0.435 0.120 0.004
	5	0	24/18 8/4*	+0.288 ( -0.502)
			0.522 0.181 0.013 - 0.478 0.176 0.009

Messages In This Thread

• Playing the player #1
  Keene -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 5:43 a.m.
  • Playing the player #1
    Keene -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 5:49 a.m.
    • Playing the player #1
      Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 7:25 a.m.
    • Playing the player #1
      Matt Reklaitis -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 9:27 p.m.
      • Playing the player #1
        Keene -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 9:55 p.m.
        • Playing the player #1
          Matt Reklaitis -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 10:09 p.m.
  • Playing the player #1
    Marty Storer -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 12:14 p.m.
  • Playing the player #1
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 3:32 p.m.
  • Playing the player #1
    Keene -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 7:41 p.m.
  • Playing the player #1 - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Friday, 9 May 2008, at 5:15 a.m.