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Variant 1 – 31P-42P-64S-44P-51@-65R-42 – 3-ply XG2 Rollout

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 8:56 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Timothy Chow)

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 134 Unlimited Game pip: 147 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a---BD-BA--dD---bBdbb----:0:0:1:42:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 42

1.	Rollout1	13/11 13/9	eq: +0.1114
	Player: Opponent: 52.92% (G:9.89% B:0.26%) 47.08% (G:9.67% B:0.31%) Conf.: ±0.0047 (+0.1066...+0.1161) - [100.0%] Duration: 53 minutes 04 seconds
2.	Rollout1	8/4 6/4	eq: +0.0585 (-0.0529)
	Player: Opponent: 51.37% (G:10.58% B:0.26%) 48.63% (G:10.06% B:0.33%) Conf.: ±0.0048 (+0.0537...+0.0633) - [0.0%] Duration: 50 minutes 14 seconds
1 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 4460493 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

Rollout by Taper_Mike 2016-Sep-18 eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10.199.2658 31P-42P-64S-44P-51@-65R-42-n-tm . xgp n[D P53] "<=7 n[D P46] "&e

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

31P-42P-64S-44P-51@-65R-42 – Unlimited Game

Bot	Seed	Equity	Nacbracs	Link
GnuBg 1.04 2-ply Trunc	787637465	+91.728	n[D P50] '/0.360t	Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 3-ply, Cubes: XGR	4460493	+111.4	n[D P53] "<=7	Taper_Mike
XG 2.10 XGR++ Eval	[XGR++ seed]	+86.2	n[D P46] "&e	Taper_Mike

When the opponent has a strong inner board, it is better not to risk the 6 shots. Making the 9pt is productive, and offers only 2 shots.

White has a better distribution of spares in variant 1 than he does in variant 2. As you might expect, that increases the incentive for Blue to make the safer play.

Mike

Messages In This Thread

• Fulfilling my promise to Peever: 4pt vs 9pt 1
  Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 17 September 2016, at 8:48 p.m.
  • Fulfilling my promise to Peever: 4pt vs 9pt 1
    Casper Van der Tak -- Saturday, 17 September 2016, at 9:24 p.m.
  • 41S-63R-65@-51$-31P-64P-42
    Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 17 September 2016, at 9:55 p.m.
  • Fulfilling my promise to Peever: 4pt vs 9pt 1
    Igor -- Saturday, 17 September 2016, at 10:54 p.m.
  • Fulfilling my promise to Peever: 4pt vs 9pt 1
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 3:40 a.m.
    • Variant – 31P-42P-64S-44P-51@-65R-42
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 4:58 a.m.
    • Variant 2 – 31P-41S-52S-31P-54R-65@-42P-42
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 6:57 a.m.
  • Rollout
    Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 7:42 p.m.
    • Original Position – 41S-63R-65@-51$-31P-64P-42 – 3-ply XG Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 8:43 p.m.
    • Variant 2 – 31P-41S-52S-31P-54R-65@-42P-42 – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 8:50 p.m.
    • Variant 1 – 31P-42P-64S-44P-51@-65R-42 – 3-ply XG2 Rollout
      Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 18 September 2016, at 8:56 p.m.
  • Fulfilling my promise to Peever: 4pt vs 9pt 1
    ah_clem -- Monday, 19 September 2016, at 2:00 p.m.