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Playing the player #4 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Keene
Date: Saturday, 10 May 2008, at 3:12 p.m.

In Response To: Playing the player #4 (Keene)

Looks like I missed the boat here...

The score (after 5 games) is: white 7, blue 6 (match to 9 points)

Move number 12: blue to play 42

white	170
blue	138
Position ID: LOsBwCWwz1EDQA Match ID: cAkqAXAAMAAA

• blue moves bar/21* 13/11

Alert: missed double ( -0.100)! [bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.572	(Money: +0.458)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.084	+0.084
3.	No double	+0.900	-0.100
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.624 0.291 0.032 - 0.376 0.097 0.016 +0.572 +0.900 Standard error 0.003 0.003 0.004 - 0.003 0.004 0.003 0.008 0.015 Player white owns 2-cube 0.616 0.285 0.084 - 0.384 0.110 0.025 +1.084 +1.084 Standard error 0.004 0.004 0.007 - 0.004 0.007 0.005 0.026 0.026
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
648 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 822812731 and quasi-random dice
Stop when best play is enough JSDs ahead: limit 3.92 (min. 648 games)
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	2	bar/21* 13/11	+1.071
			0.679 0.333 0.025 - 0.321 0.061 0.002
	2	2	bar/21* 12/10	+1.060 ( -0.011)
			0.677 0.318 0.023 - 0.323 0.069 0.002
	3	2	bar/21* 8/6	+1.054 ( -0.017)
			0.667 0.328 0.024 - 0.333 0.068 0.002
	4	2	bar/21* 11/9	+1.034 ( -0.037)
			0.666 0.308 0.021 - 0.334 0.076 0.002
	5	0	bar/21* 5/3*	+0.828 ( -0.243)
			0.619 0.263 0.020 - 0.381 0.118 0.006

Messages In This Thread

• Playing the player #4
  Keene -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 5:47 a.m.
  • Playing the player #4
    Matt Cohn-Geier -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 7:38 a.m.
  • Playing the player #4
    Marty Storer -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 12:20 p.m.
  • Playing the player #4
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 3:36 p.m.
    • Playing the player #4
      Stick -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 3:40 p.m.
      • Playing the player #4
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 6:10 p.m.
        • Playing the player #4,,better explanation
          neilkaz -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 6:19 p.m.
  • I recall a 9 pt match vs an aggressive cuber/taker
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 8 May 2008, at 6:45 p.m.
  • Playing the player #4 - ROLLOUT
    Keene -- Saturday, 10 May 2008, at 3:12 p.m.